Dating the Timeline of Financial Bubbles during the Subprime Crisis

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Brownlow’s Mailbag: The NBA Bubble, ACC schools playing HBCUs and dating in a pandemic

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Dating the timeline of house price bubbles in Australian capital cities

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Dating the timeline of house price bubbles in Australian capital cities. N2 – House prices in some Australian capital cities have recently been on the rise to the extent that some describe this as an emerging bubble, but this claim remains formally untested to date. We apply a recently developed time series procedure to detect, and time-stamp, bubbles in house price to rent ratios in Australian capital cities.

The results show a sustained, yet varying, degree of speculative behaviour in all capital cities in the s before the global financial crisis GFC engulfing different housing markets. The onset of these bubbles was soon after the federal government introduced a major change to the capital gains tax law, and all of these bubbles collapsed with or before the GFC.

As of January only Sydney exhibits significant evidence of an exuberant rise in house prices compared to rents. We provide the programming files to enable researchers to implement this test in other countries. AB – House prices in some Australian capital cities have recently been on the rise to the extent that some describe this as an emerging bubble, but this claim remains formally untested to date.

Abstract House prices in some Australian capital cities have recently been on the rise to the extent that some describe this as an emerging bubble, but this claim remains formally untested to date.

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Show full item record. JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it. Issue Date: Reference: Quantitative Economics 2 3 Nov Rights: Copyright: Econometric Society. Abstract: A new recursive regression methodology is introduced to analyze the bubble characteristics of various financial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods modify a technique proposed in Phillips, Wu, and Yu and provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior with consistent dating of their origination and collapse.

The tests serve as an early warning diagnostic of bubble activity and a new procedure is introduced for testing bubble migration across markets. Three relevant financial series are investigated, including a financial asset price a house price index , a commodity price the crude oil price , and one bond price the spread between Baa and Aaa. Statistically significant bubble characteristics are found in all of these series. The empirical estimates of the origination and collapse dates suggest a migration mechanism among the financial variables.

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Over million people have signed up for Bumble to start building valuable relationships, finding friends, and making empowered connections. Creating new connections has never been easier. Bumble is working to lift the stigma of online dating by employing unprecedented standards for respectful behavior. Because of this relentless dedication, millions of people are using Bumble to build valuable relationships every single day.

for what it reveals about dating, gender and power in the digital dating universe. Bumble needs a serious upgrade it if truly wants to empower.

Skip to search form Skip to main content You are currently offline. Some features of the site may not work correctly. DOI: Phillips and J. Phillips , J. Yu Published Economics Quantitative Economics. A new recursive regression methodology is introduced to analyze the bubble characteristics of various financial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods modify a technique proposed in Phillips, Wu and Yu and provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior and consistent dating of their origination and collapse.

The tests also serve as an early warning diagnostic of bubble activity. View via Publisher. Save to Library. Create Alert.

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